Reading the shoe

For people trying to use either Avant Dernier or Last Bet to choose their baccarat bets, the trick is being able to determine which kind of shoe they’re dealing with. This sometimes can be particularly difficult at the beginning when only a few hands have been played. However, at some point for many shoes it becomes obvious that they either have a vertical or horizontal bias. For vertical shoes, betting the Last Bet is the logical choice. For horizontal shoes, Avant Dernier.

Avant Dernier seems to be working, so far…

Since coming back to baccarat, I’ve been experimenting with some old strategies. Mostly I use Avant Dernier, but only enough times to get ahead, then I quit (I haven’t played an entire shoe with it).

What I think is interesting (in addition to having a system to pick my bet choice), is that it also protects me somewhat from myself. For example, yesterday I bet on Banker because that was what Avant Dernier said to do. It came up Player and I lost. Now I didn’t want to bet on Player since there were already two showing and I instinctively don’t like betting on three in a row, but if I was going to stay true with the system, that was the next bet. So I bet Player and surprise, surprise — it won, getting me back to even.

Just threw out the chips

Of the regular things I eat, tortilla chips are probably among the worst things to consume. Even though I generally only buy the “good” chips at stores, when eat out, I have no idea how good or bad the chips really are and eat whatever they bring to the table. But even good chips are a problem as far as carbohydrates go and vegetable oils. So as of right now, I’m going to take a break and up the greens.

Trying to make a game of chance a game of skill

I’m as guilty as anyone for wanting to crack baccarat, but after tearing the game apart I can only conclude that it’s a 50/50 game of chance, not a game of skill. Because baccarat is typically played by many players against the house at the same time, it’s the norm for people to be yelling at each other “I told you so!” when their prediction of the next hand turns out to be true. But the sad truth is that no amount of group consciousness is going to change the physical distribution of a deck of cards. It’s a random series of events for everybody.